Hello Skip,
Welcome back and thanks for the question and comment. Let’s
explore your topics together.
First, there are many context to the concept of influence. The
social
media influence model was developed under a marketing/sales oriented
context. In such context there is a goal for influence, which is to drive someone
through the purchase
funnel. Whether it is moving you from unaware to awareness or from
awareness to consideration, there is a definite objective for such type of influence.
However, I think the context that you are speaking of is more
of a learning/education oriented context, (which is quite different from the
marketing/sale context). In such context, it is not very clear what is the
ultimate goal. people learn things for many reason. Sometimes it is merely to gathering
more information for other goals (which can be anything), some merely for fun
and intellectual satisfaction. Because knowledge and facts doesn’t really have
a notion of timing and expiry (unless it is something that is proven wrong), people
can learn things whenever they want, wherever they want. Some information may
be old, but may still be valuable to those who seeks them. So if the goal is
purely for education, then timing and channel alignment in essence become
irrelevant for educational type of influence.
We are constantly learning new thing and influenced by the
information we learned day to day. Some of these may be news, but some may be
age old research from the past. Some of these may be on the internet, some may
be in a book. Therefore, by providing a recording of the event it may seem like
that we are extending he timing and alignment for the target. But for the
learning and education context, these factors may not be relevant. It really
becomes an information retrieval problem that Google does so well. If you are looking
for a piece of information purely for education purpose, then as long as the information
is relevant and accurate, you don’t really care when it is created, or where it
is recorded and stored, as long as you can access it. So I would be careful not to over
generalize the influence model into realms that may not be applicable, even
though it was my own creation. This is just my point of view.
To your second question. I think that having a map that
outlines the different dimension of different forms of human communication is
definitely helpful. But to truly evaluate and compare them quantitatively, we
need to be able to translate them and put them on level ground. That means we
need to map these different dimensions to a common attribute.
For example: although we cannot directly compare an apple
and orange, the way a business typically do to deal with this is to compare
things is through their value. For example, we can compare their price
(assuming the market
is efficient so that price is a good reflection of value) of an apple vs.
an orange.
In the scenario I talked about in this post. I’ve map
everything to the strength of relationship. However, what I haven’t done is go
further to quantify how much does a strong relationship worth and how much does
a weak tie worth. But I will leave that to you, because as I mentioned in
several discussion earlier, there is a continuum of tie strength, and people
draw the line that separate strong ties from weak ties pretty arbitrarily. So
different people will have different values for a stronger ties.
Just as an example: Hypothetically, if a stronger
ties is worth 3x (say $1500 each) as much as a weak ties ($500 each). Then the
examples that I analyzed about the virtual summit can be evaluated in the
following way. We have potentially reduced the tie strength of 25% (this is our most conservative estimate) of the
people by making the summit a virtual event. So we lost $1000 for these 25% of
the attendees:
$1000 x (25% x 708 attendees) = $1000 x (177 attendees) = $177,000 Lost by going virtual.
But we’ve gain $500 from the 75% who wouldn’t have been able
to make it if it were a IRL event. So the gain can be calculated as follow.
$500 x (75% x 708 attendees) = $500 x (531 attendees) = $265,500 Gain by going virtual.
So, even if the stronger ties is worth 3x more than a weak
tie. The gain is still lot higher going virtual. But only you would know how much is a
stronger relationship worth to your business and how much does a weaker one worth. And there are definitely situations where virtual doesn't make sense. So I will
leave this exercise for you readers out there.
Ok, thank you for the interesting questions. I hope I’ve
addressed your question. Hope to see you again next time. And have a wonderful
and relaxing Thanksgiving.